HOME

Welcome to Goldfinger(s), the data driven Oscar prediction website featuring regularly updated predictions in every feature category at the Academy Awards! I created Goldfinger(s): to provide an easily digestible breakdown of not only who I think will win, but also why. I want to pull back the curtain of Oscar predictions, so that you can see what the experts are really looking at, and then make your own choices.

HOW DO I MAKE MY PREDICTIONS?

For every category, I’m looking at a few factors:

  • Wins
  • Nominations
  • Outside Wins
  • Outside Nominations

Wins and Nominations are exactly what they sound like: wins and nominations by awards relevant to that category. For example, a Screen Actors Guild nomination would count as a Nomination in the Best Actress category. We always list the relevant awards under Sources at the bottom of each prediction page.

Outside Wins and Outside Nominations are wins and nominations by awards that are less relevant to the category, though still indirectly related. For example, a Directors Guild of America win would count as an Outside Win in the Best Picture category, the Best Actor category, and many more.

After compiling all the Wins, Nominations, Outside Wins, and Outside Nominations, I sort the films by those factors in that order and apply common sense as needed. Any manual adjustments that I make to overcome skewed data sorting will always be noted on the prediction page.

RECENT POSTS



FILMS

NO TIME TO DIE

In No Time To Die, Bond has left active service and is enjoying a tranquil life in Jamaica. His peace is short-lived when his old…
Read More

CYRANO

A man ahead of his time, Cyrano de Bergerac dazzles whether with ferocious wordplay at a verbal joust or with brilliant swordplay in a duel….
Read More

NIGHTMARE ALLEY

When charismatic but down-on-his-luck Stanton Carlisle endears himself to clairvoyant Zeena and her has-been mentalist husband Pete at a traveling carnival, he crafts a golden…
Read More

BEING THE RICARDOS

Lucille Ball and Desi Arnaz are threatened by shocking personal accusations, a political smear and cultural taboos in Academy Award winning writer and director Aaron…
Read More

KING RICHARD

Armed with a clear vision and a brazen 78-page plan, Richard Williams is determined to write his daughters, Venus and Serena, into history. Training on…
Read More

LICORICE PIZZA

Alana Kane and Gary Valentine grow up, run around and fall in love in California’s San Fernando Valley in the 1970s.Read the postLICORICE PIZZA
Read More

FREE GUY

 A bank teller who discovers he is actually a background player in an open-world video game, decides to become the hero of his own story……
Read More

WEST SIDE STORY

Love at first sight strikes when young Tony spots Maria at a high school dance in 1957 New York City. Their burgeoning romance helps to…
Read More

THE POWER OF THE DOG

The year is 1925. The Burbank brothers are wealthy ranchers in Montana. At the Red Mill restaurant on their way to market, the brothers meet…
Read More

DON’T LOOK UP

Kate Dibiasky, an astronomy grad student, and her professor Dr. Randall Mindy make an astounding discovery of a comet orbiting within the solar system. The…
Read More

UPDATED 3/28/22

2022 Oscar Nominations Predictions