
Forgive the brevity, but I’m trying to leave myself enough time to get all these predictions posted! Encanto is our predicted winner with 60% of all possible wins and 100% of all possible nominations.
Note: Regarding any ties: our predictions are sorted by Win %, Nomination %, Outside Wins, and Outside Nominations, in that order. In the event of any ties, I am also sorting by Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer at lowest priority to determine physical chart position, though not allowing it to actually break any ties. It has no true bearing on a film’s Oscar chances, but it’s the simplest aggregate of overall critical reception, and it’s less arbitrary than sorting alphabetically by “Film Name” when ties are involved.
DATA
# | FILM | +/- | WIN % | NOM % | OUT WIN | OUT NOM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ENCANTO | - | 60% | 100% | 10 | 21 |
2 | THE MITCHELLS VS. THE MACHINES | +2 | 40% | 80% | 7 | 15 |
3 | LUCA | -1 | 0% | 100% | 0 | 16 |
4 | RAYA AND THE LAST DRAGON | -1 | 0% | 80% | 2 | 18 |
5 | FLEE | - | 0% | 60% | 2 | 13 |
FILMS BELOW THIS ROW WERE NOT NOMINATED | ||||||
6 | SING 2 | - | 0% | 40% | 0 | 9 |
7 | MY SUNNY MAAD | - | 0% | 20% | 0 | 0 |
8 | THE ADDAMS FAMILY 2 | - | 0% | 0% | 1 | 2 |
9 | VIVO | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 6 |
10 | BELLE | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 5 |
11 | RON'S GONE WRONG | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 2 |
11 | SPIRIT UNTAMED | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 2 |
13 | THE SUMMIT OF THE GODS | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 1 |
13 | POUPELLE OF CHIMNEY TOWN | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 1 |
13 | WISH DRAGON | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 1 |
13 | THE BOSS BABY: FAMILY BUSINESS | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 1 |
13 | FORTUNE FAVORS LADY NIKUKO | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 1 |
13 | POMPO THE CINEPHILE | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 1 |

SOURCES
- Golden Globe Awards – Winners have been announced.
- Critics Choice Awards – Winners have been announced.
- The International Animated Film Society Annie Awards – Winners have been announced.
- Producers Guild of America Awards – Winners have been announced.
- British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards – Winners have been announced.