BEST COSTUME DESIGN

While it’s not quite a surprise to see a film about fashion leading the pack in the Best Costume Design category, any film that manages to steal an art-related award from Dune is impressive. Cruella has won 100% of the eligible precursor awards, with the only other wins going to Dune and Coming 2 America at the Costume Designers Guild, which splits by genre. Keep an eye on Dune if they’re having a big night, but place your bets on Cruella to win.

Note: Regarding any ties: our predictions are sorted by Win %, Nomination %, Outside Wins, and Outside Nominations, in that order. In the event of any ties, I am also sorting by Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer at lowest priority to determine physical chart position, though not allowing it to actually break any ties. It has no true bearing on a film’s Oscar chances, but it’s the simplest aggregate of overall critical reception, and it’s less arbitrary than sorting alphabetically by “Film Name” when ties are involved.

DATA

# FILM +/- WIN % NOM % OUT WIN OUT NOM
1 CRUELLA +2 100% 100% 1 6
2 DUNE -1 33% 100% 3 15
3 NIGHTMARE ALLEY -1 0% 100% 1 8
4 WEST SIDE STORY - 0% 67% 6 20
5 CYRANO +1 0% 67% 0 6
FILMS BELOW THIS ROW WERE NOT NOMINATED
6 COMING 2 AMERICA +4 33% 33% 3 3
7 HOUSE OF GUCCI -2 0% 67% 0 13
8 NO TIME TO DIE - 0% 33% 1 4
9 DON'T LOOK UP -2 0% 33% 0 13
10 IN THE HEIGHTS -2 0% 33% 0 4
11 THE SUICIDE SQUAD -1 0% 33% 0 3
11 THE FRENCH DISPATCH OF THE LIBERTY, KANSAS EVENING SUN -1 0% 33% 0 3
13 SHANG-CHI AND THE LEGEND OF THE TEN RINGS - 0% 33% 0 1
13 THE GREEN KNIGHT - 0% 33% 0 1
13 THE MATRIX RESURRECTIONS - 0% 33% 0 1
16 SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME - 0% 33% 0 0
16 ZOLA - 0% 33% 0 0

SOURCES