With the awards season really ramping up, wins and nominations are piling up all around. For the Forgive the brevity, but I’m trying to leave myself enough time to get all these predictions posted! Dune is our predicted winner with 80% of all possible wins and 100% of all possible nominations.
Note: Regarding any ties: our predictions are sorted by Win %, Nomination %, Outside Wins, and Outside Nominations, in that order. In the event of any ties, I am also sorting by Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer at lowest priority to determine physical chart position, though not allowing it to actually break any ties. It has no true bearing on a film’s Oscar chances, but it’s the simplest aggregate of overall critical reception, and it’s less arbitrary than sorting alphabetically by “Film Name” when ties are involved.
DATA
| # | FILM | +/- | WIN % | NOM % | OUT WIN | OUT NOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE | - | 80% | 100% | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | NO TIME TO DIE | +1 | 0% | 80% | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | WEST SIDE STORY | +1 | 0% | 60% | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | THE POWER OF THE DOG | +2 | 0% | 40% | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | BELFAST | +4 | 0% | 20% | 1 | 9 |
| FILMS BELOW THIS ROW WERE NOT NOMINATED | ||||||
| 6 | A QUIET PLACE PART II | -4 | 0% | 80% | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | THE MATRIX RESURRECTIONS | -2 | 0% | 60% | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | LAST NIGHT IN SOHO | -1 | 0% | 40% | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME | -1 | 0% | 40% | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | TICK, TICK...BOOM! | - | 0% | 20% | 0 | 6 |
SOURCES
- Academy Award Shortlist has been announced.
Note: This determines the eligibility of all films in this category. If it’s not on the shortlist, it can’t be nominated. - Motion Picture Sound Editors Golden Reel Awards – Winners have been announced.
Note: The Golden Reel Awards nominate in three major categories: Feature Underscoring, Feature Dialogue/ADR, and Feature Effects/Foley. A film can be nominated for all three, so there are five possible awards including the two below. - Cinema Audio Society Awards – Winners have been announced.
- British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards – Winners have been announced.
