Since all five of the Critics’ Choice nominations in this category were also included on the Oscar shortlist for Makeup and Hairstyling, ranking these films was pretty easy. All 10 films pictured above were on the shortlist and are eligible for a nomination. Anything above The Bubble also received a Critics’ Choice Nomination. Sort both sets by their outside nominations, bada bing, bada boom: you’ve got an early prediction for Best Makeup and Hairstyling. Looking ahead, we await the Make-Up Artists and Hair Stylists Guild nominations on January 11th. With five relevant nomination categories, they are sure to shake this list up a bit before the BAFTA Nominations on February 3rd.
Note: Regarding any ties: our predictions are sorted by Win %, Nomination %, Outside Wins, and Outside Nominations, in that order. In the event of any ties, I am also sorting by Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer at lowest priority to determine physical chart position, though not allowing it to actually break any ties. It has no true bearing on a film’s Oscar chances, but it’s the simplest aggregate of overall critical reception, and it’s less arbitrary than sorting alphabetically by “Film Name” when ties are involved.
DATA
| # | FILM | +/- | WIN % | NOM % | OUT WIN | OUT NOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE | - | 0% | 20% | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | NIGHTMARE ALLEY | - | 0% | 20% | 0 | 5 |
| 3 | HOUSE OF GUCCI | - | 0% | 20% | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | CRUELLA | - | 0% | 20% | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE | - | 0% | 20% | 0 | 1 |
| FILMS BELOW THIS ROW ARE NOT PREDICTED TO BE NOMINATED | ||||||
| 6 | WEST SIDE STORY | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | CYRANO | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | THE SUICIDE SQUAD | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | NO TIME TO DIE | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | COMING 2 AMERICA | - | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 |
SOURCES
- Critic’s Choice Awards – Nominations have been announced. Ceremony date TBA.
- Make-Up Artists and Hair Stylists Guild Awards – Nominations announced 1/11/22.
Note: The Make-Up and Hair Stylists Guild nominate in five major categories: Contemporary Hair, Contemporary Make-Up. Period and/or Character Hair, Period and/or Character Make-Up, and Special Make-Up Effects. In certain cases(time travel films) a film could be nominated for all five, but in most cases three MUAH nominations would the best case scenario, for a total of five with CC and BAFTA. So for our purposes, each MUAH nomination counts as 1 of 5 possible nominations (rather than each being 1 of 7). - British Academy of Film and Television Arts Awards – Nominations announced 2/3/22.
